Trump's frustration raises doubts about Netanyahu's future, with odds for his departure by June 30 at 5.5% YES.

Iran declares the Strait of Hormuz open, causing oil prices to drop over 10%. Normalization by April 30 at 64.5% YES.

Iran links Strait of Hormuz access to ceasefire terms. Diplomatic meeting with Trump by April 30 at 18.6% YES.

Antalya Quartet supports Pakistan's mediation in US-Iran talks. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 2% YES.

Iran-linked ships have crossed a US blockade line in the Gulf of Oman. The market on “Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz ...

Daniel Fried’s comments on Moscow’s return to Soviet-style escalation tactics have pushed the Russia-Ukraine ceasefire ...

Quantum computing threatens Bitcoin's cryptographic security, posing a critical challenge to its foundational integrity.

No air raid sirens have been reported in Israel for over 24 hours following the recent ceasefire. The Israel x Hezbollah ...

Trump declined NATO aid in the Persian Gulf, pushing odds of a US withdrawal from NATO by April 30 to 1.3% YES.

Deutsche Börse invests in Kraken, but Bitcoin faces sell-offs from miners and Bhutan; Bitcoin above $62,000 on April 18 at 99 ...

Rising inflation driven by energy costs is pinching American wallets, with 65% of consumers saying price increases outpace ...

The US Navy issued an advisory about unclear mine threats in the Strait of Hormuz. Odds for the UK sending warships through ...