The 10-year yield is often used as a stand-in for mortgage rates and also shows how investors feel about the economy’s future ...

Learn how understanding the bond yield curve's signals can inform economic forecasts and enhance your investment decisions ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

Investors who own bonds or a bond fund watch to see if Treasury yields and interest rates will rise and to what extent. If rates are increasing, they may avoid bonds with longer-term maturities, ...

It is no secret that the bond market is the most important in the world. The well-oiled market machine burns debt as a fuel. But when you look inside, you realize that it is intermingled with yield ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

Later in this article, I will display a chart revealing a consistent pattern of when a recession is most likely to begin. From a trader's viewpoint, pattern recognition is essential for successful ...

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

Following the jobs report on Friday that showed job creation had deteriorated from “decent” to “weak,” yields dropped across the board, except for the 30-year yield, which ticked up. Yields are now ...

A version of this article was originally published on Oct. 8, 2014. The term "interest rate" continues to strike fear into the hearts of bond investors. These fears have only intensified as the timing ...